基本信息
文件名称：“东升西落”核心假设有哪些？.docx
文件大小：5.86 MB
总页数：20 页
更新时间：2025-04-03
总字数：约小于1千字
文档摘要
Catalog
A W}DWAVSTWA*]. 2
2O25BR fiB4R?L?}NiA. 3
B. R fiW:W%%flBZ. 7
A. R tt?T 18
PMI 50.3%2025 2 ISM
PMI 50.3%
6.5
48.6%
1.8
50.7%
7.5
62.4%
PMI 53.5%52.6%0.952.2%2.262.6%ISMPMIISMPMI2025 2 ISM 52.8%
PMI 53.5%
52.6%
0.9
52.2%
2.2
62.6%
ISM
PMI
ISM
PMI
112025 3 57.9% 2022
11
63.1%764.0% 54.2% 2022
63.1%
7
65.7%63.5%
65.7%
24.3%34.9%11
2
4.3%
3
4.9%
11
3.9%19933.5%
3.9%
1993
-0.9%-1.2%20.2%0.6%0.3%0.4%2Wind2025
-0.9%
-1.2%
2
0.2%
0.6%
0.3%
0.4%
2
Wind
-0.4%-0.6%2
-0.4%
-0.6%
2
-1.5%
2
2
12.54.1%4%4%Wind15.11614.32025 2
12.5
4.1%
4%
4%
Wind
15.1
16
14.3
14.421.1
1
4.4
2
1.1
62.4%0.2
62.4%
0.2
FOMC
FOMC
22.122.23 11871902025 3 8 22 22.5
22.1
22.2
3 1
187
190
2
2
3
1
1
33
4
25050
250
50
4 3
1ChristopherJ.Waller
1
2024
12
2025
3
2025
3
122025
12
2025
50
2025 32024 12
2025 3
2024 12
ISMPMI
ISM
ISMPMI
ISM
32025
3
122024
12